Ayr Horse Racing Race Cards | 14:15 21st December 2021

Ayr' Race Card | 14:15 21st December 2021

Western House Hotel Hogmanay Ball Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Soft (Soft-good to soft in places)
Race Type
Hurdle Turf
Class
5
     Classifications     
Condition, Handicap, Hurdle
Weather
Overcast & Cold
Distance
2m
Runners
9
Prize Money
£6,248
VDW Win
69%
VDW Place
92%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
2
309-241
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
11-2
105
29

24%

no
no
8
0-601U1
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
17.14%
9-12
Cheekpieces
83
12

19%

no
no
1
433-231
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
11-10
Hood
106
29

17%

no
no
9
6P7F-4F
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
11.11%
9-7
78
12

10%

no
no
6
433534
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
10
10-11
90
22

10%

no
no
3
324/7
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
11-8
104
12

8%

no
no
5
P/53-7P6
D
G
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
5.88%
10-3
Tongue Strap
90
21

6%

no
no
7
538PP-0
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
10-4
Cheekpieces
88
34

5%

no
no
4
0U673-P
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
10
0%
11-7
Tongue Strap
100
13

2%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
D McCain Jnr is the strongest trainer in this race with a 43% win rate at Ayr over Hurdle Turf. Killane is racing for them.
8%
Strongest Jockey
Peter Kavanagh is the strongest jockey in this race with a 33% win rate at Ayr over Hurdle Turf. Killane is racing for them.
6%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Hurdle Turf races at Ayr over 2m win 44% of the time.
8%
Most Profitable Horses

+14.79

Win

+8.27

Place

+3.92

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
19
Overall Par
38
Class Par
39
Distance Par
40
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Beat Box
101 141 193 121 3 29 198 142 65 65 198 152 121
Cancan
101 241 221 122 388 96 260 0 260 260 296 211 260 260 296 217 189
Wheelbahri
168 172 31 35 215 173 215 192
Ardera Cross
194 208 301 95 30 -57 290 192 321 193 290 174 321 208 198
Killane
158 156 0 0 63 182 1 201 201 201 145 188 188 201 148 104
Spark Of Madness
207 203 227 109 241 90 265 1 246 246 246 178 246 246 246 187 141
Saryshagann
185 171 15 40 23 185 0 185 185 277 225 162 141 277 225 102
Tintern Theatre
210 203 189 75 21 62 252 252 252 209 218
Fraughan Hill
156 155 46 106 67 278 3 210 210 210 156 210 156
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Fast
Classifications: Condition, Handicap, Hurdle

These races are run at a very fast pace. They'll be multiple horses that like to be leaders and most will burn out and not finish in a position. You should determine whether any runners are significantly stronger leaders than the others. If there is one it's possible that this runner could take the lead at the beginning and keep it all the way. In this situation you can totally ignore the other leader type horses as they'll try to keep up and run out of energy before the end of the race. If there isn’t a dominant leader then the chances are that all the leaders will finish out of position as they battle with each other to be at the front of the pack. These races are most often won by early pressers and mid-pack horses, although occasionally a closer will manage to take the win.

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