Ayr Horse Racing Race Cards | 15:00 12th August 2024

Ayr' Race Card | 15:00 12th August 2024

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Christmas Parties At Western House Hotel Classified Stakes (Div 1)

Good (Good-good to soft in places)
Race Type
Flat Turf
Class
6
     Classifications     
Stakes
Weather
Cloudy
Distance
1m
Runners
7
Prize Money
£7,000
VDW Win
72%
VDW Place
94%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
9 9
879371
D
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
9-2
Hood
50
13

24%

no
no
6 3
382666
D
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
30.77%
9-2
49
16

15%

no
no
7 5
565630
D
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
9-2
48
38

13%

no
no
5 2
750506 BF
D
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
10%
9-9
Visor
50
6

11%

no
no
1 6
004070-
D
G
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
16.67%
10.71%
9-9
Tongue Strap
49
334

6%

no
no
3 1
105635
CD
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
10
0%
9-9
49
14

6%

no
no
2 4
736463
CD
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
10
9-4
45
7

6%

no
no
8 7
655526
C
D
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
16.67%
9-2
Cheekpieces
46
2

12%

no
no
4 8
900/9-73
C
D
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
17.24%
9-9
42
2

5%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
I Jardine is the strongest trainer in this race with a 12% win rate at Ayr over Flat Turf. Believe Me Now is racing for them.
9%
Strongest Jockey
Jason Hart is the strongest jockey in this race with a 14% win rate at Ayr over Flat Turf. Likleman is racing for them.
11%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat Turf races at Ayr over 1m win 27% of the time.
21%
Most Profitable Horses

+5.74

Win

+12.90

Place

+11.76

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
76
Overall Par
81
Class Par
81
Distance Par
66
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Believe Me Now
-492 95 0 93 54 120 86 120
Rebecca's Girl
86 90 0 53 106 -35 111 0 100 80 134 82 134 93 91
Desert Dream
66 85 19 -29 97 0 106 106 171 92 150 103 171 90 85
Wallaroo
83 83 3 62 131 131 127 90 106 64 84
Likleman
48 73 0 0 -32 171 1 115 70 115 63 55
Chinese Spirit
72 92 0 29 43 -19 94 0 135 101 200 99 200 113 200 105 109
Rock And Royal
50 54 36 14 -48 130 1 80 80 80 44 121 67 1
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Stakes

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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