Ayr Horse Racing Race Cards | 14:42 19th September 2024

Ayr' Race Card | 14:42 19th September 2024

Race Type
Flat Turf
Class
5
     Classifications     
Handicap
Weather
Cloudy
Distance
5f
Runners
9
Prize Money
£8,000
VDW Win
63%
VDW Place
92%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
1 6
519211
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
13.33%
10-0
72
19

23%

no
no
5 4
254193
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
17.39%
11.54%
9-8
66
6

15%

no
no
4 9
333
D
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
4.35%
9-10
69
32

13%

no
no
3 10
532615
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
12.5%
3.85%
9-11
Cheekpieces
69
22

11%

no
no
8 5
674806
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
9
12.12%
9-3
Cheekpieces
61
43

8%

no
no
7 3
5-14435
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
11.54%
9-5
Cheekpieces
63
9

6%

no
no
9 7
697484
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
7.69%
8-7
Cheekpieces
51
5

6%

no
no
6 2
525-850
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
5.26%
9-6
Visor
64
19

5%

no
no
10 8
464434
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
7.69%
8-7
Cheekpieces
45
15

3%

no
no
2 1
204205
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
17.24%
9-12
Visor, Tongue Strap
71
19

11%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
I Jardine is the strongest trainer in this race with a 12% win rate at Ayr over Flat Turf. Parisiac is racing for them.
12%
Strongest Jockey
P Mulrennan is the strongest jockey in this race with a 16% win rate at Ayr over Flat Turf. Water Of Leith is racing for them.
15%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat Turf races at Ayr over 5f win 26% of the time.
25%
Most Profitable Horses

+18.77

Win

+6.84

Place

+11.76

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
103
Overall Par
98
Class Par
97
Distance Par
102
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Water Of Leith
103 109 18 -2 269 3 132 108 168 106 137 102 168 107 106
Music Society
56 97 0 56 21 -4 129 0 184 101 164 122 189 105 103
Frank The Spark
97 95 0 1 216 2 141 141 150 93 136 136 150 84 88
Show Me Show Me
80 88 36 4 -58 81 0 74 74 177 99 135 102 177 95 88
Object
79 89 0 1 -13 155 1 119 119 119 71 119 71 48
Ski Angel
52 87 30 0 -47 92 0 110 84 125 78 125 68 125 79 93
Canon's House
94 94 54 14 0 -72 139 0 116 109 116 109
Parisiac
85 97 0 2 -7 116 0 130 130 177 86 117 117 177 88 112
Earn Your Stripes
76 88 6 -22 138 1 97 97 123 82 123 92 123 76 77
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Handicap

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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