Bath Horse Racing Race Cards | 14:10 01st October 2018

Bath' Race Card | 14:10 01st October 2018

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Get access to the Horse Racing Tip for 14:10 at Bath, on 1st Oct 2018.

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IESIS GROUP NURSERY HANDICAP (5)

Good To Firm

Race Type

Flat Turf

Class

Classifications

Group, Handicap, Nursery

Distance

5f 160y

Runners

Prize Money

£3,752

Next Race Today

Lingfield - 12:52

Racecard

Horses In Race

cloth	Horse	Odds	Age	Trainer	Jockey	Weight HeadGear	OR DSLR	Horse Most Likely To Win	Ratings PR VDW
3 2	Michaels Choice 034 D G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	W Jarvis 16.67%	S De Sousa 18.42%	9-4	72 17	14%	no no
1 5	Swiss Pride 523240 CD G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	R Hughes 9.09%	Finley Marsh 0%	9-2	75 31	13%	no no
6 13	Second Collection 564 D G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	A W Carroll 11.11%	Dane O'Neill 33.33%	8-12 Hood	66 49	5%	no no
4 3	London Rock 06425 CD G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	R Hannon 10%	Tom Marquand 8.06%	9-2	70 15	7%	no no
8 10	North Korea 214554 CD G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	B Baugh 0%	W A Carson 6.67%	8-10	64 12	3%	no no
12 7	Glamorous Crescent 60965 D G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	C Mason 0%	J Quinn 0%	8-0	52 18	5%	no no
11 9	Ever Rock 8446 CD G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	J Moore 0%	K T O'Neill 5.71%	8-2	56 15	3%	no no
2 4	Pont Vert 561 D G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	Eve Johnson Houghton 7.69%	Charles Bishop 8.82%	9-4	72 61	21%	no no
10 1	Lady Wolf 780 CD G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	B R Millman 8.33%	F Norton 8.93%	8-2	56 26	3%	no no
9 8	Nananita 93533 D G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	D M Loughnane 7.14%	Liam Jones 11.54%	8-7	61 18	9%	no no
7 12	Comete 6662 BF D G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	A Watson 25%	Oisin Murphy 22.06%	8-11 Blinkers	65 9	11%	no no
5 11	Coastguard Watch 030 D Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	R Hughes 9.09%	S J Cummins 0%	8-7	68 10	4%	no no
13 6	Nagging Doubt 06000 D G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	A W Carroll 11.11%	Aaron Jones 0%	8-0	45 18	1%	no no

Strongest Trainer

W Jarvis is the strongest trainer in this race with a 100% win rate at Bath over Flat Turf. Michaels Choice is racing for them.

100%

Strongest Jockey

Finley Marsh is the strongest jockey in this race with a 23% win rate at Bath over Flat Turf. Swiss Pride is racing for them.

23%

Favourites Win

Favourites in Flat Turf races at Bath over 5f 160y win 34% of the time.

34%

Biggest Class Movers

Coastguard Watch

£-2717

Pont Vert

£-1423

Swiss Pride

£-776

Most Profitable Horses

Pont Vert

+11.77

Win

Michaels Choice

+13.07

Place

Swiss Pride

+6.86

Lay

Best Handicapped Horses

North Korea 1

B Baugh - W A Carson

Top 3 Most Suited Horses

Top 3 Most Suited Trainers

Top 3 Most Suited Jockeys

Win Market
Place Market

Name	Score	Value
Coastguard Watch
Comete
Ever Rock
Glamorous Crescent
Lady Wolf
London Rock
Michaels Choice
Nagging Doubt
Nananita
North Korea
Pont Vert
Second Collection
Swiss Pride

Speed
Pace

Projected Speed Race Class

0

Overall Par

0

Class Par

0

Distance Par

0

Top 3 Last Good Race Speed Class

Pont Vert 80

Eve Johnson Houghton - Charles Bishop

North Korea 77

B Baugh - W A Carson

Second Collection 74

A W Carroll - Dane O'Neill

Top 3 Speed Class Horses

North Korea 63

B Baugh - W A Carson

Swiss Pride 59

R Hughes - Finley Marsh

London Rock 48

R Hannon - Tom Marquand

Top 3 Speed Competitive Class Horses

Pont Vert 80

Eve Johnson Houghton - Charles Bishop

North Korea 41

B Baugh - W A Carson

Swiss Pride 35

R Hughes - Finley Marsh

Horses In race

Horse	Dynamic speed rating	SHorPro	SClGR	SClLr4	ACSPCLTD	SPDFIGLrAdj	Speed regression level	Speed regression angle	ShorBE	ShorAV	SHorBED	SHorAvD	SHorBET	SHorAvT	SHorBES	SHorAvS	SHorAvG
Michaels Choice	38	75	48			-64	52	-1	66	66	85	75			85	75	85
Swiss Pride	18	88	69	59	35		134	1			105	87	-10		105	89	89
Second Collection	33	70	74	27		-38	37				86	61			37	37
London Rock	51	70	3	48	14	-38	68	-0	90	64	90	70	90	90	90	70	63
North Korea	14	53	77	63	41	-30	60	0	92	92	92	52	54	54	92	51	42
Glamorous Crescent	25	25		41		-92	24	-0	20	20	32	25			32	25	23
Ever Rock	7	42		15		-51	69	0	63	63	63	42	63	63	63	42	20
Pont Vert	55	55	80		80	-34	185	2			96	55			96	55	55
Lady Wolf	8	44		16	-8		44		0		44	44	-19		44	44	44
Nananita	10	39	10	11		-74	52	0	45	45	59	39			45	29	13
Comete	45	49	62	33		-36	24		87	59	87	49			24	24	24
Coastguard Watch	-97	58	45						58	58	58	58			-109
Nagging Doubt	-50			24			15	0	-46		-20				-20

* No races in last 12 months

Predicted Race Pace | Slow

Classifications: Group, Handicap, Nursery

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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Bath Horse Racing Race Cards | 14:10 01st October 2018

Bath' Race Card | 14:10 01st October 2018

IESIS GROUP NURSERY HANDICAP (5)

Statistics

Race Advisor Insights

Monte Carlo Simulation

Race Predictor

Speed & Pace

Speed

Projected Speed Race Class

0

Overall Par

0

Class Par

0

Distance Par

0

Error