Carlisle Horse Racing Race Cards | 15:00 20th February 2017

Carlisle' Race Card | 15:00 20th February 2017

ROA/RACING POST OWNERS' JACKPOT HANDICAP CHASE (NORTHERN LIGHTS MIDDLE DISTANCE CHASE QUALIFIER) (4)

Good To Soft
Race Type
Chase Turf
Class
4
     Classifications     
Chase, Handicap
Distance
2m 4f
Runners
8
Prize Money
£4,549
VDW Win
73%
VDW Place
93%
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Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
5
57/33-
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
25.93%
26.92%
11-4
111
467

16%

no
no
3
32/62-
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
10
11-1
Hood
115
473

16%

no
no
1
4143-6
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
8.57%
11-12
119
27

15%

no
no
2
3-52P6
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
16.67%
11-11
118
35

13%

no
no
8
3-0475
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
10-3
101
14

13%

no
no
4
PP3473
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
15.79%
11-5
114
26

11%

no
no
6
752P-F
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
11-1
111
90

10%

no
no
7
P-631P
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
10
11.11%
12.5%
11-4
111
27

8%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
Miss V Williams is the strongest trainer in this race with a 25% win rate at Carlisle over Chase Turf. Kap Jazz is racing for them.
16%
Strongest Jockey
W T Kennedy is the strongest jockey in this race with a 33% win rate at Carlisle over Chase Turf. Take The Cash is racing for them.
21%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Chase Turf races at Carlisle over 2m 4f win 29% of the time.
18%
Most Profitable Horses

+0.68

Win

+1.11

Place

+6.86

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
113
Overall Par
132
Class Par
132
Distance Par
135
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Kap Jazz*
169 195 152 44 192 192 199 199 239
Calivigny
237 240 233 218 387 50 180 -1 285 217 285 285 285 250 224
Take The Cash*
175 134 185 8 178 169 247 247 178 172 164
The Cobbler Swayne
206 209 151 197 53 29 195 195 195 281 223 281 225 202
Verko
202 203 148 143 13 77 246 1 220 220 287 193 190 171 291 217 218
Newberry New
143 162 177 177 43 128 -1 202 202 221 164 221 164 164
Purcell's Bridge*
232 240 231 13 108 295 204 295 219 295 229 213
Dream Flyer
205 197 167 191 11 36 275 249 223 223 275 204 174
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Fast
Classifications: Chase, Handicap

These races are run at a very fast pace. They'll be multiple horses that like to be leaders and most will burn out and not finish in a position. You should determine whether any runners are significantly stronger leaders than the others. If there is one it's possible that this runner could take the lead at the beginning and keep it all the way. In this situation you can totally ignore the other leader type horses as they'll try to keep up and run out of energy before the end of the race. If there isn’t a dominant leader then the chances are that all the leaders will finish out of position as they battle with each other to be at the front of the pack. These races are most often won by early pressers and mid-pack horses, although occasionally a closer will manage to take the win.

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