Carlisle Horse Racing Race Cards | 14:00 11th November 2024

Carlisle' Race Card | 14:00 11th November 2024

Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Graduation Chase (GBB Race)

Good (Good-good to soft in places)
Race Type
Chase Turf
Class
2
     Classifications     
Chase
Weather
Dry & Bright
Distance
1m 7f 207y
Runners
4
Prize Money
£50,000
VDW Win
77%
VDW Place
95%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
4
1113-
D
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
29.73%
32.5%
10-6
135
214

48%

no
no
3
22335-1
D
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
12.12%
9.09%
11-7
Tongue Strap, Cheekpieces
144
17

21%

no
no
2
5491P-5
D
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
9
23.33%
11-11
Tongue Strap
146
15

20%

no
no
1
134217-
CD
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
9
22.22%
11-11
Cheekpieces
138
206

11%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
P F Nicholls is the strongest trainer in this race with a 55% win rate at Carlisle over Chase Turf. Kalif Du Berlais is racing for them.
7%
Strongest Jockey
H Cobden is the strongest jockey in this race with a 50% win rate at Carlisle over Chase Turf. Kalif Du Berlais is racing for them.
6%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Chase Turf races at Carlisle over 1m 7f 207y win 37% of the time.
5%
Most Profitable Horses

+4.51

Place

+6.32

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
22
Overall Par
29
Class Par
31
Distance Par
30
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Nells Son
231 222 0 4 6 278 210 234 205 270 229 238
Unexpected Party
160 215 0 57 222 222 286 238 309 237 231
Path D'oroux
197 192 55 15 176 176 176 304 186 246 203 176
Kalif Du Berlais
221 222 0 77 237 220
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Fast
Classifications: Chase

These races are run at a very fast pace. They'll be multiple horses that like to be leaders and most will burn out and not finish in a position. You should determine whether any runners are significantly stronger leaders than the others. If there is one it's possible that this runner could take the lead at the beginning and keep it all the way. In this situation you can totally ignore the other leader type horses as they'll try to keep up and run out of energy before the end of the race. If there isn’t a dominant leader then the chances are that all the leaders will finish out of position as they battle with each other to be at the front of the pack. These races are most often won by early pressers and mid-pack horses, although occasionally a closer will manage to take the win.

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