Exeter Horse Racing Race Cards | 15:30 14th November 2022

Exeter' Race Card | 15:30 14th November 2022

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Pasty Past The Post Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Good (Good-good to soft in places)
Race Type
Hurdle Turf
Class
4
     Classifications     
Hurdle, Mares, Novice
Weather
Overcast
Distance
2m 2f 111y
Runners
14
Prize Money
£7,500
VDW Win
80%
VDW Place
100%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
12
8- BF
G
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
41.67%
57.58%
11-0
235

21%

no
no
9
4/2213-3 BF
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
10.53%
11-0
39

19%

no
no
5
123-6 BF
D
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
16.67%
14.71%
11-0
Tongue Strap
22

13%

no
no
4
11.5
£11.5
5
11.36%
15.63%
11-0
232

13%

no
no
13
52-52
C
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
11.54%
10-13
102
22

10%

no
no
1
11.5
£11.5
6
33.33%
22.22%
11-0
240

7%

no
no
11
31-
11.5
£11.5
6
13.79%
11-0
218

5%

no
no
14
5-
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
12.5%
10-13
298

5%

no
no
3
5P-24
C
G
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
7.69%
11-0
Tongue Strap
10

2%

no
no
6
7-6
C
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
0%
10-11
8

2%

no
no
7
83-536
D
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
10-11
Hood
26

2%

no
no
10
570/
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
14.29%
11-0
688

1%

no
no
2
0
D
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
25.93%
10-11
12

1%

no
no
8
7756-
C
D
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
11-0
Hood
259

1%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
H Fry is the strongest trainer in this race with a 32% win rate at Exeter over Hurdle Turf. Fairy Gem is racing for them.
7%
Strongest Jockey
S Bowen is the strongest jockey in this race with a 30% win rate at Exeter over Hurdle Turf. Fairy Gem is racing for them.
6%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Hurdle Turf races at Exeter over 2m 2f 111y win 31% of the time.
6%
Most Profitable Horses

+11.78

Place

Best Handicapped Horses
Not Enough Data In This Race To Calculate
Projected Speed Race Class
28
Overall Par
43
Class Par
42
Distance Par
39
Top 3 Speed Competitive Class Horses
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Lutinebella
178 187 213 142 213 74 228 228 228 163
Annie Magic*
Moviddy*
Fairy Gem
107 88 104 123 209 -90 64 64 64 92 92 64 64 131
Lady Gwen
175 163 64 165 84 -86 -113 -9 67 67 215 215 215 175 211
Caitlin's Court
201 201 47 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201
Ginderella
136 153 13 164 164 164 107 107 164 164
Dime Store Cowgirl*
Sister Saint
121 121 -33 121
Kentford Swansong
148 155 74 144 39 208 1 190 190 122 122 190 141 146
Lydia Violet*
144 -19 163 149 126
Nous Esperons
170 170 17
Bashful Kate
57 57 -94 57 57 57 57 57 57 57
Lady Amy
101 101 60 -24 130 130 91 91
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Hurdle, Mares, Novice

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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