Kempton Horse Racing Race Cards | 14:40 22nd October 2017

Kempton' Race Card | 14:40 22nd October 2017

MATCHBOOK BETTING PODCAST CHASE (A NOVICES' LIMITED HANDICAP) (4)

Good
Race Type
Chase Turf
Class
4
     Classifications     
Chase, Handicap, Limited, Novice
Distance
2m 2f
Runners
11
Prize Money
£4,549
VDW Win
80%
VDW Place
98%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
6
322352
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
19.51%
22.58%
11-7
Tongue Strap
119
15

13%

no
no
3
32-132
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
8.33%
11-8
120
19

11%

no
no
11
33-2
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
6.45%
10-6
113
51

11%

no
no
7
3P252-
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
11-5
Tongue Strap
117
188

10%

no
no
10
324-
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
4.17%
10-7
114
267

10%

no
no
2
30F-19
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
33.33%
11-8
120
22

9%

no
no
4
2731-2
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
100%
11-8
Tongue Strap
120
159

9%

no
no
1
33P21-
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
15.38%
11-8
Cheekpieces
120
188

7%

no
no
5
4242-4 BF
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
9
0%
11-0
119
148

7%

no
no
8
P5521F
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
9
11-3
115
28

5%

no
no
9
/8371-
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
11.76%
11-1
113
184

5%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
H Daly is the strongest trainer in this race with a 30% win rate at Kempton over Chase Turf. Go West Young Man is racing for them.
12%
Strongest Jockey
Callum Hutchinson is the strongest jockey in this race with a 14% win rate at Kempton over Chase Turf. Saint Contest is racing for them.
6%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Chase Turf races at Kempton over 2m 2f win 33% of the time.
14%
Most Profitable Horses

+13.80

Win

+7.15

Place

Projected Speed Race Class
90
Overall Par
86
Class Par
91
Distance Par
90
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Exitas
234 239 163 233 22 59 273 0 281 161 227 215 272 238 223
Volt Face
198 204 222 202 111 104 263 195 263 220 260
Movie Legend
238 233 184 155 147 90 255 243 18 18 252 232 210
Bach De Clermont
253 272 234 246 100 262 262 249
Bad Boy Du Pouldu
168 169 157 171 45 200 200 164
Land League
159 182 212 167 50 212 212 171 171 224
Go West Young Man
269 263 274 260 15 129 306 292 254 192 291 271 258
Saint Contest
161 150 212 124 80 148
Siruh Du Lac
166 166 195 133 -44
Free Stone Hill
240 253 253 264 109 270 270 256 -9 187 187 270 270 223
Royal Debutante
219 222 257 213 91 238
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Chase, Handicap, Limited, Novice

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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