Kempton Horse Racing Race Cards | 19:00 04th October 2023

Kempton' Race Card | 19:00 04th October 2023

Race Type
Flat AW
Class
4
     Classifications     
Handicap
Weather
Overcast
Distance
7f
Runners
13
Prize Money
£12,000
VDW Win
68%
VDW Place
88%
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
13 4
525521
CD
G
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
16.67%
9-6
Cheekpieces
75
28

15%

no
no
9 1
756212 BF
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
13.64%
17.24%
9-8
Cheekpieces
77
18

13%

no
no
6 10
006453
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
16.67%
12%
9-11
80
21

11%

no
no
1 6
711002
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
26.67%
9.62%
9-13
80
7

10%

no
no
12 3
456825
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
7.14%
7.14%
9-7
Visor
74
25

7%

no
no
7 2
311395
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
12.5%
27.91%
9-11
Cheekpieces
80
15

7%

no
no
11 9
86-5318 BF
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
9.09%
9-8
Tongue Strap
77
189

7%

no
no
14 5
764193
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
19.05%
24.49%
9-4
73
26

6%

no
no
8 11
37-19
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
10.81%
9-10
79
158

5%

no
no
3 8
020-090
D
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
14.29%
9-13
80
110

5%

no
no
4 7
184767
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
17.24%
9-12
79
28

5%

no
no
10 13
368106
D
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
21.54%
9-8
Tongue Strap
75
25

5%

no
no
2 12
822000
Cl
11.5
£11.5
4
9.09%
9-10
Hood, Tongue Strap
80
50

3%

no
no
5 14
736065
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
9-11
78
12

3%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
A Keatley is the strongest trainer in this race with a 16% win rate at Kempton over Flat AW. Satin Snake is racing for them.
16%
Strongest Jockey
W Buick is the strongest jockey in this race with a 23% win rate at Kempton over Flat AW. Crow's Nest is racing for them.
22%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat AW races at Kempton over 7f win 33% of the time.
32%
Most Profitable Horses

+8.95

Win

+13.15

Place

+3.72

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
101
Overall Par
115
Class Par
117
Distance Par
106
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Elzaam Blue
109 119 0 67 2 134 -1 141 141 149 108 141 141 166 116 141
Dionysian
114 125 30 14 171 1 151 151 175 109 134 114 175 134 114
Deceiver
1 85 0 31 0 99 83 98 98 98 98 98
Surrey Noir
57 67 0 7 209 5 139 139 139 57 139 76 139 58 76
Starlight Nation
54 55 0 -2 -66 118 64 64 118 54 118 60 118 60 60
Satin Snake
112 112 0 238 9 91 -0 142 142 161 107 155 108 161 110 108
Saturnalia
89 90 18 -9 108 -1 125 125 141 87 117 109 141 116 109
Dirtyoldtown*
-0 77 131 40 0 -81 155 103
Crow's Nest
75 90 0 0 0 137 137 82 77
Engelbert
87 81 13 39 -68 127 72 127 87 78
Sayifyouwill
106 106 0 67 -28 6 -1 110 110 167 100 143 98 155 102 98
See You Boy
76 74 0 -39 97 76 97 76
Magical Max
109 111 0 68 -29 105 105 170 95 110 90
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Handicap

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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