Musselburgh Horse Racing Race Cards | 13:50 16th October 2017

Musselburgh' Race Card | 13:50 16th October 2017

RACING UK PROFITS RETURNED TO RACING NOVICE STAKES (5)

Soft
Race Type
Flat Turf
Class
5
     Classifications     
Novice, Stakes
Distance
5f 1y
Runners
4
Prize Money
£3,315
VDW Win
53%
VDW Place
92%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
1 2
526818
CD
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
2
9-4
Tongue Strap
82
53

34%

no
no
2 1
11054
D
G
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
2
13.64%
9.68%
9-8
79
5

21%

no
no
5 4
28
D
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
2
10.81%
2.94%
8-11
53

13%

no
no
3 3
05
D
Cl
Non Hcap
11.5
£11.5
2
33.33%
13.51%
9-2
7

10%

no
no
4 5
11.5
£11.5
2
10.34%
10%
9-2
38

22%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
M Dods is the strongest trainer in this race with a 20% win rate at Musselburgh over Flat Turf. Time Trail is racing for them.
7%
Strongest Jockey
J Fanning is the strongest jockey in this race with a 19% win rate at Musselburgh over Flat Turf. Eva Docc is racing for them.
6%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat Turf races at Musselburgh over 5f 1y win 28% of the time.
10%
Most Profitable Horses

+26.32

Win

+8.29

Place

+2.94

Lay

Best Handicapped Horses
Projected Speed Race Class
8
Overall Par
0
Class Par
0
Distance Par
0
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Time Trail
27 44 -6 37 44 -110 6 -0 24 24 83 52 83 52
Marnie James
53 77 70 77 84 -35 102 0 103 69 -27 103 69
Ace Of Spades
-17 20 -108 20 20 20 20
Eva Docc
30 21 43 47 -121 -34 -1 59 59 59 30
Royal Pursuit
50 50 -78 50 50
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Novice, Stakes

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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