Musselburgh Horse Racing Race Cards | 16:35 27th September 2020

Musselburgh' Race Card | 16:35 27th September 2020

Race Type
Flat Turf
Class
5
     Classifications     
Handicap
Weather
Cloudy
Distance
1m 2y
Runners
9
Prize Money
£6,545
VDW Win
80%
VDW Place
93%
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
1 9
920412
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
4.40 7
7.69%
10-1
73
9

23%

no
no
4 3
27-2394
D
G
Cl
Hcap
7.90 3
11.36%
9.8%
9-10
72
26

14%

no
no
7 1
40-8934
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
8.00 6
9.52%
9-3
Cheekpieces
61
7

12%

no
no
5 6
964846
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
9.28 7
7.14%
7.69%
9-8
66
10

11%

no
no
6 7
055617
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
7.98 4
2.38%
7.69%
9-7
Cheekpieces
65
9

11%

no
no
2 8
344727
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
5.61 5
14.29%
9-13
71
15

9%

no
no
8 10
500740
D
G
Cl
Hcap
19.47 5
8-10
57
2

7%

no
no
10 4
654098
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
23.31 8
8-7
Hood
45
6

3%

no
no
9 2
27-9000
D
G
Cl
Hcap
60.83 3
2.94%
8-8
56
19

3%

no
no
3 5
940680
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
4
9-11
69
2

6%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
M Johnston is the strongest trainer in this race with a 21% win rate at Musselburgh over Flat Turf. True Believer is racing for them.
19%
Strongest Jockey
J Fanning is the strongest jockey in this race with a 19% win rate at Musselburgh over Flat Turf. True Believer is racing for them.
17%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat Turf races at Musselburgh over 1m 2y win 31% of the time.
28%
Most Profitable Horses

+2.27

Win

+4.96

Place

+11.76

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
95
Overall Par
99
Class Par
97
Distance Par
102
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Tommy G
86 105 82 103 24 -70 118 0 151 110 194 133 141 111 194 103 103
Donnelly's Rainbow
87 103 89 64 30 7 141 2 158 153 174 104 159 111 174 100 114
True Believer
84 94 -29 13 -62 8 127 0 144 144 144 89 144 100
How Bizarre
109 116 129 135 24 -20 139 0 169 138 180 116 180 122 180 116 122
Merricourt
98 102 108 61 2 -30 115 -0 138 120 141 100 138 103 138 97 94
Lucky Violet
62 84 86 105 32 -26 130 1 108 101 181 100 162 106 181 107 121
Mac Mccarthy
23 51 53 -16 4 -30 85 1 90 90 113 61 113 73 54
Ghayyar
123 117 111 115 13 -35 119 -0 137 116 191 106 137 84 191 103 110
De Bruyne Horse
64 70 32 80 7 67 0 91 80 115 84 126 72 112
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Handicap

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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