Musselburgh Horse Racing Race Cards | 15:25 05th February 2023

Musselburgh' Race Card | 15:25 05th February 2023

bet365 Novices' Handicap Chase

Good (Good to soft-good in places)
Race Type
Chase Turf
Class
5
     Classifications     
Chase, Handicap, Novice
Weather
Overcast
Distance
2m 4f 68y
Runners
9
Prize Money
£8,000
VDW Win
80%
VDW Place
98%
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
1
19-0333
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
11.76%
12-1
Tongue Strap
101
33

28%

no
no
3
322-247 BF
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
12.82%
8.33%
11-10
Tongue Strap
99
35

15%

no
no
4
94-PP16
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
11-10
96
23

14%

no
no
8
0-8U933
C
D
G
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
10
10-7
79
142

11%

no
no
9
580425
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
5.56%
9-11
76
23

9%

no
no
6
139-754
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
10-3
Cheekpieces
80
35

8%

no
no
2
65/32-5P
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
10
7.69%
12-0
Cheekpieces
100
80

7%

no
no
5
540-P27
CD
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
9.09%
11-0
Cheekpieces
86
35

6%

no
no
7
9P7/40P
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
6.67%
10-8
80
81

2%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
H Graham & G Rutherford is the strongest trainer in this race with a 27% win rate at Musselburgh over Chase Turf. Shoughall's Boy is racing for them.
25%
Strongest Jockey
Edward Austin is the strongest jockey in this race with a 30% win rate at Musselburgh over Chase Turf. Shoughall's Boy is racing for them.
28%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Chase Turf races at Musselburgh over 2m 4f 68y win 34% of the time.
32%
Most Profitable Horses

+23.38

Win

+7.84

Place

+8.82

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
125
Overall Par
200
Class Par
197
Distance Par
203
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Cartonne
228 212 237 91 0 36 246 246 254
Dr Shirocco
221 221 282 240 65 42 -7 202 202 289 166 289 289 289 238 200
Large Action
228 237 282 205 282 7 -105 -13 171 171 322 263 322 322 322 247 210
Thunder In Milan
172 203 84 193 195 128 282 282 172 282 225 282 225
Limerick Leader
224 210 110 205 264 -35 281 257 134 134 134 134 192
Shoughall's Boy
181 192 112 153 0 145 927 19 288 213 288 214 288 197 171
Nabraska
175 184 258 220 94 100 220 166 155 247 173 181
The Great Georgie
187 160 179 282 -38 137 124 136
Devour
233 216 248 151 443 46 261 196 284 250 148
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Fast
Classifications: Chase, Handicap, Novice

These races are run at a very fast pace. They'll be multiple horses that like to be leaders and most will burn out and not finish in a position. You should determine whether any runners are significantly stronger leaders than the others. If there is one it's possible that this runner could take the lead at the beginning and keep it all the way. In this situation you can totally ignore the other leader type horses as they'll try to keep up and run out of energy before the end of the race. If there isn’t a dominant leader then the chances are that all the leaders will finish out of position as they battle with each other to be at the front of the pack. These races are most often won by early pressers and mid-pack horses, although occasionally a closer will manage to take the win.

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