Newcastle Horse Racing Race Cards | 15:50 30th December 2016

Newcastle' Race Card | 15:50 30th December 2016

Race Type
Flat AW
Class
6
     Classifications     
Handicap
Distance
1m 5y
Runners
11
Prize Money
£3,235
VDW Win
62%
VDW Place
94%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
3 2
405212 BF
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
12.5%
9-5
64
20

25%

no
no
7 6
424265
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
4.55%
9-1
59
30

14%

no
no
5 4
333001
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
27.27%
9-5
Cheekpieces
64
52

12%

no
no
2 1
354398
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
13.33%
9-4
65
63

10%

no
no
9 7
035332
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
10
8-5
56
31

9%

no
no
1 11
256345 BF
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
9-1
Cheekpieces
66
168

7%

no
no
8 8
293123
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
11.76%
8-13
57
67

7%

no
no
6 9
546677
C
D
G
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
12.12%
9-3
Cheekpieces
62
99

5%

no
no
4 10
6831-9
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
11.11%
8-12
63
36

5%

no
no
10 5
698930
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
8-11
55
20

4%

no
no
11 3
800500
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
8-7
45
21

1%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
K A Ryan is the strongest trainer in this race with a 17% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. The Magic Pencil is racing for them.
8%
Strongest Jockey
J Fanning is the strongest jockey in this race with a 16% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Poor Duke is racing for them.
7%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat AW races at Newcastle over 1m 5y win 31% of the time.
14%
Most Profitable Horses

+12.56

Win

+6.92

Place

+11.76

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
39
Overall Par
45
Class Par
45
Distance Par
51
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
The Magic Pencil
81 94 110 91 28 -38 91 90 90 -22 121 105 105
Newmarket Warrior
73 78 89 65 -50 145 83 122 122 33 33 33
Oak Bluffs
79 78 68 48 8 -43 142 2 84 84 130 88 69 69 130 88 88
Jessie Allan
-13 28 40 -95 28 0 24 24 39 39 24 20 24 20 20
Lozah
61 94 97 66 36 9 147 0 140 140 146 101 146 138 146 88 108
Who's Shirl
80 98 93 94 3 -24 101 -0 119 90 114 97 119 102 102
Hernando Torres
111 110 99 112 16 -1 121 -0 167 121 137 99 143 102 102
Let Right Be Done
75 79 119 104 4 -44 79 79 79 139 76 79 79 109 71 71
Sir Lancelott
25 49 64 87 14 -99 25 116 72 107 107 116 74 74
Poor Duke
78 73 73 53 6 -44 174 88 116 69 69
Crystallographer
76 73 77 70 80 -27 126 0 113 89 104 104 113 99 99
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | True
Classifications: Handicap

The majority of races will fall into this category. While mid-pack and closers do win these types of races, they generally need a faster pace to set them up for their closing run. Leaders or early pressers will most often win these races and a good early presser is often more likely than a leader, particular if the early presser gets off faster at the start.

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