Newcastle Horse Racing Race Cards | 20:10 19th September 2017

Newcastle' Race Card | 20:10 19th September 2017

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Get access to the Horse Racing Tip for 20:10 at Newcastle, on 19th Sep 2017.

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PLAY CASINO AT 188BET NURSERY HANDICAP (6)

Standard

Race Type

Flat AW

Class

Classifications

Handicap, Nursery

Distance

1m 5y

Runners

Prize Money

£2,588

Next Race Today

Sandown - 13:15

Racecard

Horses In Race

cloth	Horse	Odds	Age	Trainer	Jockey	Weight HeadGear	OR DSLR	Horse Most Likely To Win	Ratings PR VDW
8 1	Archie Perkins 448562 CD G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	N Tinkler 37.5%	Mr L Edmunds 7.14%	8-10	57 7	2%	no no
5 5	Far Dawn 95393 C D G Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	S & E Crisford 5.56%	Harry Bentley 9.09%	9-5	63 19	0%	no no
6 9	Admiral Spice 77784 CD G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	Tom Dascombe 16.67%	R Kingscote 9.68%	9-4 Cheekpieces	62 7	0%	no no
4 12	Lady Alavesa 02541 D G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	Miss Gay Kelleway 0%	T Eaves 12.5%	9-6	64 47	0%	no no
2 7	Starboy 5085 G Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	George Scott 0%	M Harley 9.09%	9-8	66 59	0%	no no
1 3	Kylie Rules 4843 CD G Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	Mrs A Duffield 0%	S A Gray 0%	9-9	67 40	0%	no no
9 2	Echo 775 D Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	Jedd O'Keeffe 20%	J Garritty 4.76%	8-11	55 23	0%	no no
10 8	Troop 886 D Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	Mrs A Duffield 0%	G Lee 5.71%	8-10 Cheekpieces	54 23	0%	no no
12 11	Saxonroad Boy 8068 D G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	R Fahey 13.7%	Barry McHugh 5.26%	8-7 Cheekpieces	51 19	0%	no no
13 4	Bee Machine 970 Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	Declan Carroll 9.09%	P Mathers 5.56%	8-1	45 73	0%	no no
7 6	Marsh Storm 35704 CD G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	K Burke 8.82%	P J McDonald 19.05%	9-1	59 7	0%	no no
11 13	Cherubic 7794 D G Cl Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	C Hills 11.9%	J Fanning 23.26%	8-10 Blinkers	54 12	0%	no no


3 10	Merchant Marine (Non-Runner) 73300 Hcap	11.5 £11.5	2	R M Beckett 12.9%	-	9-7 Blinkers	65 12	2%	no no

Strongest Trainer

George Scott is the strongest trainer in this race with a 29% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Starboy is racing for them.

29%

Strongest Jockey

R Kingscote is the strongest jockey in this race with a 25% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Admiral Spice is racing for them.

25%

Favourites Win

Favourites in Flat AW races at Newcastle over 1m 5y win 31% of the time.

31%

Biggest Class Movers

Kylie Rules

£-3881

Echo

£-1293

Troop

£-1293

Most Profitable Horses

Lady Alavesa

Win

Lady Alavesa

+1.15

Place

Far Dawn

+5.88

Lay

Best Handicapped Horses

Lady Alavesa -2

Miss Gay Kelleway - T Eaves

Top 3 Most Suited Horses

Top 3 Most Suited Trainers

Top 3 Most Suited Jockeys

Win Market
Place Market

Name	Score	Value
Admiral Spice
Archie Perkins
Bee Machine
Cherubic
Echo
Far Dawn
Kylie Rules
Lady Alavesa
Marsh Storm
Saxonroad Boy
Starboy
Troop

Speed
Pace

Projected Speed Race Class

0

Overall Par

0

Class Par

0

Distance Par

0

Top 3 Last Good Race Speed Class

Far Dawn 88

S & E Crisford - Harry Bentley

Archie Perkins 72

N Tinkler - Mr L Edmunds

Lady Alavesa 70

Miss Gay Kelleway - T Eaves

Top 3 Speed Class Horses

Far Dawn 60

S & E Crisford - Harry Bentley

Archie Perkins 54

N Tinkler - Mr L Edmunds

Kylie Rules 52

Mrs A Duffield - S A Gray

Top 3 Speed Competitive Class Horses

Archie Perkins 72

N Tinkler - Mr L Edmunds

Kylie Rules 65

Mrs A Duffield - S A Gray

Marsh Storm -6

K Burke - P J McDonald

Horses In race

Horse	Dynamic speed rating	SHorPro	SClGR	SClLr4	ACSPCLTD	SPDFIGLrAdj	Speed regression level	Speed regression angle	ShorBE	ShorAV	SHorBED	SHorAvD	SHorBET	SHorAvT	SHorBES	SHorAvS	SHorAvG
Archie Perkins	35	62	72	54	72	-15	107		107	81	107	73	107	107	107	107	107
Far Dawn	45	58	88	60		-33	58		98	98	98	70	58	58	58	58	58
Admiral Spice	33	53		46		-52	78		78	78	78	78	78	78	78	78	78
Lady Alavesa	51	51	70	38		-35	84	1			97	97			38	21	38
Starboy*	-0	19		23			30	0							-17
Kylie Rules	61	61	65	52	65	-72	63				63	63	63	63	63	63	63
Echo*	-0	44				-74			49	49	49	44
Troop	24	24		38		-75			47	47	47	24
Saxonroad Boy	10	23		47		-92	18		27	27	27	27			18	18	18
Bee Machine	-45			15
Marsh Storm	38	44	-12	50	-6	-40	126	6	87	57	87	87	87	45	87	39	39
Cherubic	-30	39		30		-83	39		39	39	39	39			39	39	39

* No races in last 12 months

Predicted Race Pace | Slow

Classifications: Handicap, Nursery

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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Newcastle Horse Racing Race Cards | 20:10 19th September 2017

Newcastle' Race Card | 20:10 19th September 2017

PLAY CASINO AT 188BET NURSERY HANDICAP (6)

Statistics

Race Advisor Insights

Monte Carlo Simulation

Race Predictor

Speed & Pace

Speed

Projected Speed Race Class

0

Overall Par

0

Class Par

0

Distance Par

0

Error