Newcastle Horse Racing Race Cards | 19:30 17th September 2019

Newcastle' Race Card | 19:30 17th September 2019

Race Type
Flat AW
Class
5
     Classifications     
Handicap
Distance
1m 5y
Runners
13
Prize Money
£3,429
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Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
2 3
261000
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
4.76%
9-9
74
38

2%

no
no
5 1
150216
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
9.3%
9-4
69
11

13%

no
no
13 14
723102
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
23.33%
9-0
69
28

9%

no
no
9 10
7-6890
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
9-2
67
17

2%

no
no
8 5
088101
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
5.56%
9-3
68
18

16%

no
no
10 2
244627
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
21.05%
11.11%
8-13
67
19

6%

no
no
11 4
011096
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
14.29%
18.75%
9-1
66
42

6%

no
no
14 13
665533
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
15.58%
6.38%
8-8
62
19

9%

no
no
7 12
344
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
21.74%
9-3
Tongue Strap
72
35

16%

no
no
1 6
606007
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
19.05%
9-10
Hood
75
24

2%

no
no
4 7
231338
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
4.55%
9-6
71
3

8%

no
no
6 11
633650
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
9-4
69
21

5%

no
no
12 8
175656
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
12.5%
9-1
66
18

8%

no
no
3 9
22/5-0
D
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
9-7
72
18

1%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
Sir M Stoute is the strongest trainer in this race with a 45% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Fiery Mission is racing for them.
45%
Strongest Jockey
Jim Crowley is the strongest jockey in this race with a 40% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Fiery Mission is racing for them.
40%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat AW races at Newcastle over 1m 5y win 31% of the time.
31%
Most Profitable Horses

+44.18

Win

+10.65

Place

+11.38

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
0
Overall Par
0
Class Par
0
Distance Par
0
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Tum Tum
85 76 107 60 16 -106 75 -0 129 95 124 111 129 100 103
Home Before Dusk
119 128 94 73 97 -29 90 -2 133 122 153 120 130 112 130 108 104
Toro Dorado
95 99 92 90 43 -7 121 0 119 119 127 104 119 119 127 109 109
Armed
108 92 84 113 -69 59 59 113 74 116 116 116
Insurplus
90 92 91 69 6 9 127 0 138 79 165 91 138 85 138 85 85
Newmarket Warrior
110 109 138 114 23 -53 130 0 72 72 168 98 168 105 168 101 99
Fitzrovia
49 89 77 88 2 8 135 100 15 15
Cameo Star
95 101 74 113 3 -31 138 89 89 175 119 138 117 138 92 117
Fiery Mission
110 110 95 20 78 149 110 78 78 78
Ghayadh
77 87 107 106 7 143 143 143 93 62 54 48
Pickett's Charge
103 119 85 117 15 -30 117 102 98 175 98 166 105 166 111 110
Roller
98 96 74 114 3 -49 81 81 151 121 138 121 138 121 121
Kentuckyconnection
92 89 37 101 4 -36 92 0 91 91 142 103 142 105 142 101 96
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Fast
Classifications: Handicap

These races are run at a very fast pace. They'll be multiple horses that like to be leaders and most will burn out and not finish in a position. You should determine whether any runners are significantly stronger leaders than the others. If there is one it's possible that this runner could take the lead at the beginning and keep it all the way. In this situation you can totally ignore the other leader type horses as they'll try to keep up and run out of energy before the end of the race. If there isn’t a dominant leader then the chances are that all the leaders will finish out of position as they battle with each other to be at the front of the pack. These races are most often won by early pressers and mid-pack horses, although occasionally a closer will manage to take the win.

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