Newcastle Horse Racing Race Cards | 15:45 18th December 2019

Newcastle' Race Card | 15:45 18th December 2019

Race Type
Flat AW
Class
5
     Classifications     
Handicap
Distance
1m 5y
Runners
14
Prize Money
£3,429
VDW Win
57%
VDW Place
95%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
3 4
-65612 BF
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
0%
9-6
73
53

20%

no
no
11 7
744821
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
16.67%
9-3
Blinkers
70
12

13%

no
no
7 1
173522
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
7.5%
9-5
Visor
72
26

13%

no
no
8 10
8-3696
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
14.29%
9-4
Tongue Strap
71
130

7%

no
no
12 8
632842
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
5.88%
9.09%
9-2
70
12

7%

no
no
10 12
151043 BF
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
9-3
70
12

7%

no
no
5 11
31-670
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
0%
9-6
Wind Op
73
158

7%

no
no
1 14
03/53-
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
14.29%
9-7
74
376

6%

no
no
6 3
-18987
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
12.77%
9-5
73
13

5%

no
no
9 2
261068
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
9-3
70
143

4%

no
no
4 13
216640
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
6.25%
9-3
73
21

4%

no
no
2 6
643288
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
9-3
74
70

3%

no
no
14 5
087306
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
0%
8-12
65
61

2%

no
no
13 9
36-700
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
40%
9-0
67
134

2%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
R Varian is the strongest trainer in this race with a 23% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Bobby Biscuit is racing for them.
23%
Strongest Jockey
Tom Marquand is the strongest jockey in this race with a 24% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Dutch Pursuit is racing for them.
24%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat AW races at Newcastle over 1m 5y win 31% of the time.
31%
Most Profitable Horses

+49.12

Win

+33.34

Place

+7.84

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
100
Overall Par
114
Class Par
112
Distance Par
112
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Vive La Difference
85 93 95 64 22 -19 115 0 110 110 176 101 110 84 110 84 84
Papa Stour
106 101 104 88 4 -10 120 135 108 102 102 135 97 98
Champagne Rules
94 89 121 95 8 -105 110 82 160 119 160 98 95
Dancing Rave
85 86 95 71 12 -21 109 0 107 107 107 107 107 100 107 100 100
Insurplus
94 95 95 90 12 -24 99 -0 128 116 165 93 138 89 138 89 90
Bobby Biscuit
102 113 123 84 8 8 191 1 140 108 140 97 108
Thaayer
108 107 67 105 20 -10 108 99 95 108 101 108 97 94
Coolagh Magic
64 68 32 47 46 -48 81 121 98 81 77 135 90 83
Oud Metha Bridge
93 89 83 97 13 -61 68 68 68 173 99 151 128 151 104 115
Destroyer
110 108 171 131 8 -5 680 9 175 112 126 98 126 95 92
Reaver*
189 117 145 11 6 149 99 166 116 136
Ascot Week
97 112 114 95 8 0 131 131 131 209 97 169 97 169 96 96
Dutch Pursuit
57 66 49 88 5 -103 12 -1 28 28 78 49 82 62 82 55 62
Mango Chutney
75 71 28 75 1 -35 142 78 48 33 78 43 43
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Handicap

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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