Newcastle Horse Racing Race Cards | 17:30 12th January 2021

Newcastle' Race Card | 17:30 12th January 2021

Bombardier Conditions Stakes (All-Weather Championships Fast-Track Qualifier)

Standard To Slow
Race Type
Flat AW
Class
2
     Classifications     
Champion, Condition, Stakes
Weather
Dry & Cloudy
Distance
1m 5y
Runners
5
Prize Money
£20,000
VDW Win
60%
VDW Place
86%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
5 4
361/831-
D
Non Hcap
2.40 6
13.64%
9-1
Tongue Strap
109
60

34%

no
no
4 5
34110/1-
D
Cl
Non Hcap
5.13 6
9.68%
9-3
112
35

31%

no
no
1 2
1/78644-
D
Cl
Non Hcap
13.23 7
14.29%
9-3
Hood
105
118

15%

no
no
3 3
1/72011-
CD
Cl
Non Hcap
3.54 4
8.33%
19.35%
9-3
Tongue Strap
99
33

13%

no
no
2 1
40290/2-
D
Cl
Non Hcap
28.00 7
5.88%
0%
9-3
97
17

6%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
W J Haggas is the strongest trainer in this race with a 30% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Ummalnar is racing for them.
21%
Strongest Jockey
J P Spencer is the strongest jockey in this race with a 23% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Bless Him is racing for them.
16%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat AW races at Newcastle over 1m 5y win 31% of the time.
22%
Most Profitable Horses

+6.99

Win

+5.27

Place

Projected Speed Race Class
81
Overall Par
99
Class Par
97
Distance Par
58
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Bless Him
135 131 131 87 1 -11 170 123 106 97
Count Of Amazonia
88 95 106 75 29 1 151 1 130 82 89 89 130 112
Born To Be Alive
91 95 83 93 3 -38 91 91 91 140 101 132 112
Vintager*
152 170 166 61 191 144
Ummalnar
120 121 119 98 4 37 488 5 164 120 164 113
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Champion, Condition, Stakes

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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