Newcastle Horse Racing Race Cards | 13:45 11th December 2021

Newcastle' Race Card | 13:45 11th December 2021

Race Type
Flat AW
Class
5
     Classifications     
Handicap
Weather
Unsettled
Distance
2m 56y
Runners
7
Prize Money
£7,200
VDW Win
50%
VDW Place
88%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
5 4
424311
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
8.33%
18.18%
9-7
63
32

30%

no
no
4 1
336751
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
9-13
Visor
69
19

15%

no
no
6 8
35-5442
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
14.71%
9-4
66
22

11%

no
no
2 7
200254 BF
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
0%
10-0
77
94

9%

no
no
8 6
754693
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
0%
9-0
62
32

8%

no
no
7 3
412745
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
18.18%
9-4
60
46

7%

no
no
1 5
111740
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
10-0
77
25

6%

no
no
3 2
467022
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
10-0
Blinkers
70
12

14%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
H Main is the strongest trainer in this race with a 20% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Al Kout is racing for them.
12%
Strongest Jockey
Rossa Ryan is the strongest jockey in this race with a 12% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Nastasiya is racing for them.
7%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat AW races at Newcastle over 2m 56y win 27% of the time.
17%
Most Profitable Horses

+5.59

Win

+3.88

Place

+9.80

Lay

Best Handicapped Horses
Projected Speed Race Class
81
Overall Par
80
Class Par
69
Distance Par
78
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Riggsby
88 89 131 33 131 1 129 0 127 125 127 98 127 103 97
Victoriano
106 113 131 33 131 2 159 1 140 109 135 89 135 82 86
Nastasiya
97 107 28 15 27 157 157 157 130 107 88 107
Al Kout
98 122 41 90 3 137 -0 165 126 165 128 165 117 116
Chocolate Box
123 127 143 36 171 9 148 0 148 148 198 119 126 110 153 124 128
Nataleena
87 93 0 14 25 347 4 155 103 155 107 155 105 110
Ravenscar
134 133 122 25 131 37 57 0 177 177 171 123 137 83 162 96 95
Mukha Magic
99 97 2 33 299 -118 25 -0 22 22 142 84 142 142 172 100 99
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Handicap

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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