Newcastle Horse Racing Race Cards | 15:20 11th November 2022

Newcastle' Race Card | 15:20 11th November 2022

Race Type
Flat AW
Class
4
     Classifications     
Handicap
Weather
Overcast
Distance
2m 56y
Runners
7
Prize Money
£10,800
VDW Win
71%
VDW Place
88%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
8 6
235621
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
10.34%
29.41%
9-4
70
4

24%

no
no
7 2
310702
C
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
0%
9-5
Blinkers
77
21

14%

no
no
2 7
156133
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
9-12
80
17

14%

no
no
5 5
8-22317
C
D
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
15.79%
9-6
78
28

12%

no
no
1 8
326005
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
6.67%
10-2
81
20

10%

no
no
3 4
737045
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
4.55%
8.33%
9-12
Cheekpieces
77
11

10%

no
no
4 1
433527 BF
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
16.67%
9-6
Visor
74
21

8%

no
no
6 3
4728-38
C
D
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
9-6
71
1

8%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
S Hodgson is the strongest trainer in this race with a 50% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Tralee Hills is racing for them.
8%
Strongest Jockey
William Carver is the strongest jockey in this race with a 21% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Tralee Hills is racing for them.
4%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat AW races at Newcastle over 2m 56y win 27% of the time.
5%
Most Profitable Horses

+11.13

Win

+8.05

Place

+12.74

Lay

Best Handicapped Horses
Projected Speed Race Class
21
Overall Par
20
Class Par
20
Distance Par
21
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Mostly Sunny
108 106 29 125 37 -66 65 65 152 152 152 117
Kincade
79 73 92 87 34 -77 55 55 93 74 51 51 76 64
Geremia
149 155 165 166 366 33 66 175 175 189 121 215 154 215 137 141
Blow Your Horn
140 141 167 101 20 30 168 168 168 182 165 171 107 171 118 92
World Without Love
106 111 72 112 494 -38 68 -6 157 124 157 157 176 147 176 127 150
Real Terms
148 143 60 119 90 -58 186 133 185 172 113 108 113 68 113
Tralee Hills
103 111 136 95 85 -91 117 41 41 174 113 150 95 94
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Handicap

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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