Newcastle Horse Racing Race Cards | 17:32 03rd August 2023

Newcastle' Race Card | 17:32 03rd August 2023

Race Type
Flat AW
Class
5
     Classifications     
Fillies, Handicap
Weather
Overcast
Distance
1m 4f 98y
Runners
9
Prize Money
£7,400
VDW Win
69%
VDW Place
93%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
10 10
8-02
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
4.17%
5.26%
8-13
62
42

24%

no
no
7 2
532311
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
12.5%
17.24%
9-2
Cheekpieces
55
13

18%

no
no
4 5
59-3332
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
16.67%
9-6
Cheekpieces
64
62

13%

no
no
5 3
296346
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
9.68%
12.5%
9-4
Blinkers
67
21

10%

no
no
3 6
4056-32
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
9-12
Visor
65
14

9%

no
no
2 4
57-7325
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
5.71%
10-1
68
47

7%

no
no
8 1
055
C
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
3
6.67%
12.5%
8-12
64
26

6%

no
no
1 9
47958/6-
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
6.67%
0%
10-2
69
311

3%

no
no
9 8
7/6848
C
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
10.26%
9-0
53
43

3%

no
no
6 7
862147
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
12.5%
9-2
Hood
55
14

6%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
H Palmer is the strongest trainer in this race with a 20% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Eloped is racing for them.
9%
Strongest Jockey
J P Spencer is the strongest jockey in this race with a 23% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Eloped is racing for them.
10%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat AW races at Newcastle over 1m 4f 98y win 35% of the time.
15%
Most Profitable Horses

Win

+5.74

Place

+7.84

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
21
Overall Par
49
Class Par
47
Distance Par
49
Top 3 Last Good Race Speed Class
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Turner Girl
115 122 11 -54 166 125 135 135 135 114 104
Tafsir
62 88 0 -3 23 125 122 139 128 91 65 91 65 65
Can Can Girl
88 94 22 5 -14 124 91 158 97 158 91 158 102 105
Fox Flame
66 81 94 -95 25 -1 35 35 138 83 138 98 96
Eloped
43 54 0 -55 70 70 41 41
Bookmark
100 105 35 -5 71 -1 148 110 69 69 162 103 96
Spiced Rum
33 70 -14 30 110 110 -42 30 30 30
Kepala
-168 92 83 12 111 97 111 57 51
Aljardaa
38 78 17 105 105 69 105 69 69
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Fillies, Handicap

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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