Newcastle Horse Racing Race Cards | 16:10 04th January 2024

Newcastle' Race Card | 16:10 04th January 2024

Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)

Standard To Slow
Race Type
Flat AW
Class
6
     Classifications     
Handicap
Weather
Showers
Distance
1m 5y
Runners
11
Prize Money
£5,700
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
10 5
244045-
C
D
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
0%
6.06%
9-0
45
50

10%

no
no
8 8
5/62531-
C
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
22.22%
9-4
Cheekpieces
50
179

14%

no
no
7 6
222486-
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
9.52%
11.76%
9-6
Tongue Strap, Cheekpieces
52
27

9%

no
no
3 10
506286-
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
14.29%
0%
9-9
Tongue Strap, Cheekpieces
55
29

12%

no
no
6 7
834239-
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
9-7
Cheekpieces
53
27

7%

no
no
11 4
367600-
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
10
18.18%
9-0
Cheekpieces
45
65

2%

no
no
9 3
057687-
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
5
8-9
46
46

5%

no
no
2 9
352549-
CD
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
9-9
55
145

7%

no
no
1 2
563677- BF
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
9-9
Blinkers, Tongue Strap
55
30

15%

no
no
4 11
023680-
CD
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
4
9-8
Blinkers
54
27

3%

no
no
5 1
0/78804-
D
G
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
7.69%
9-7
53
28

16%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
O Greenall & J Guerriero is the strongest trainer in this race with a 15% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Ibiza Rocks is racing for them.
15%
Strongest Jockey
Harry Russell is the strongest jockey in this race with a 13% win rate at Newcastle over Flat AW. Ibiza Rocks is racing for them.
13%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Flat AW races at Newcastle over 1m 5y win 31% of the time.
31%
Most Profitable Horses

+11.13

Win

+4.48

Place

+10.78

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
0
Overall Par
0
Class Par
0
Distance Par
0
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Marcello Si
81 102 0 0 -7 86 54 119 115 119 115
Braes Of Doune
69 93 0 0 -4 121 70 143 143 143 143 143
Odd Socks Havana
81 84 92 -63 69 69 69 146 90 132 83 146 86 75
Big Dream
90 86 13 -52 77 -0 83 83 129 99 110 89 80
Reclaim Victory
59 84 0 89 -95 31 -0 38 38 161 100 164 91 164 94 94
Mr Coco Bean
46 101 104 166 104 163 99 166 102 126
Mekbat
53 109 43 61 -43 91 0 104 67 86 65 88 65 70
Ubettabequick
21 56 -62 93 64 49 49 49 49
Ibiza Rocks
63 75 0 18 -58 41 -1 77 77 155 75 155 127 155 91 84
Reflex
44 84 0 0 -106 128 0 28 28 133 82 130 81 133 94 28
Maraakiz
-42 108 0 1 1 -24 109 109 109 138 107 109 99
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Handicap

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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