Newton Abbot Horse Racing Race Cards | 16:15 02nd October 2023

Newton Abbot' Race Card | 16:15 02nd October 2023

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Race Type
Hurdle Turf
Class
5
     Classifications     
Handicap, Hurdle, Novice
Weather
Drizzle
Distance
3m 2f 105y
Runners
6
Prize Money
£9,650
VDW Win
52%
VDW Place
80%
Next Race Today
Horses In Race
cloth Horse Odds Age Trainer Jockey Weight
HeadGear
OR
DSLR
Horse Most
Likely To Win
Ratings
PR
VDW
1
2434-31
CD
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
0%
11-7
Tongue Strap, Cheekpieces
105
10

25%

no
no
3
6P2133
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
7
21.74%
11-1
92
14

17%

no
no
6
3236-91
C
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
10-4
Tongue Strap
81
19

15%

no
no
7
U0-0P63
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
10-3
80
19

12%

no
no
5
3-63234
CD
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
8
11.11%
11-0
Tongue Strap, Cheekpieces
91
41

8%

no
no
2
113444
C
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
11-4
Cheekpieces
100
10

8%

no
no
4
5/050-12
Cl
Hcap
11.5
£11.5
6
11-1
92
34

16%

no
no
Strongest Trainer
P & M Bowen is the strongest trainer in this race with a 19% win rate at Newton Abbot over Hurdle Turf. Coal Fire is racing for them.
13%
Strongest Jockey
Gearoid Harney is the strongest jockey in this race with a 50% win rate at Newton Abbot over Hurdle Turf. Ben Lilly is racing for them.
35%
Favourites Win
Favourites in Hurdle Turf races at Newton Abbot over 3m 2f 105y win 35% of the time.
24%
Most Profitable Horses

+24.13

Win

+5.69

Place

+7.84

Lay

Projected Speed Race Class
127
Overall Par
148
Class Par
145
Distance Par
163
Top 3 Last Good Race Speed Class
Horses In race
Horse Dynamic speed rating SHorPro SClGR SClLr4 ACSPCLTD SPDFIGLrAdj Speed regression level Speed regression angle ShorBE ShorAV SHorBED SHorAvD SHorBET SHorAvT SHorBES SHorAvS SHorAvG
Coal Fire
196 223 0 77 232 232 255 206 172
Fortunate Fred
240 242 27 135 289 289 289 289 244 289 234 177
Ben Lilly
229 203 97 45 68 229 229 244 210 245 222 270 206 112
Astroman
227 224 0 -0 60 -25 -3 218 218 309 285 218 218 309 204 180
Wot You Wearing
218 214 50 0 126 270 270 202 177 270 218
Mactavish
188 189 50 127 270 270 270 196 157
* No races in last 12 months
Predicted Race Pace | Slow
Classifications: Handicap, Hurdle, Novice

These races have no leaders or early pressers which results in a race where no horse wants to take the lead and a very slow pace. Use traditional handicapping methods to determine the strongest mid-pack or closing horses and you will find the winner more often than not. Something to watch out for in these races are mid-pack horses that have been known to get in the lead regularly in these races. While no runner wants to be in the lead, one of them has to be. If a mid-pack horse can get the lead by more than three lengths then they can often keep the position all the way to the finish. If a trainer knows a horse can do this then he will instruct the jockey to go for the front early on. This can give you a nice priced winner in a slow paced race.

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